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Duke had a late offensive surge to take a one-point lead with 1: Freshman sensation Marvin Bagley III scored 19 for Duke but sat out a significant chunk of the second half with four fouls. Grayson Allen made his first field goal with 35 seconds remaining. Allen has not reached the point plateau since Dec. Bagley is bidding to be the first Blue Devil and the first freshman to lead the ACC in scoring and rebounding.
Why Bet on North Carolina? Carolina is coming off a win over Pitt on Feb. The Tar Heels had 29 assists, second most in a game this year 31 vs. It was the first game this season six Tar Heels scored in double figures.
Luke Maye leads North Carolina in scoring He is second in the ACC with two games this season. Opposing guards have feasted on the Blue Devils this season and the Trevon Duval-Grayson Allen pairing has failed to offer much resistance against dynamic scorers. In losses to St. Rebounding has been one of the key stats when Duke and Carolina get together. Duke has won 13 of the last 20 games from UNC, including all six when it has outrebounded the Tar Heels.
Teams that have beaten Duke have also forced 61 Blue Devil turnovers. Duke has committed about 3. Traditionally, the Tar Heels have owned this rivalry on the gridiron.
However, Duke has won three of the last five meetings, including a tight win last season. Both of these teams have proven early in the season that they can score points. However, Duke has also played quality defense against power conference teams. That gives me little hesitation in choosing the Blue Devils to win this game and cover the spread comfortably.
The Tar Heels finally appear to have settled on redshirt freshman Chazz Surratt, a one-time Duke verbal commitment, at quarterback. Against Northwestern, the Blue Devils allowed less than total yards while forcing three turnovers. Against Baylor, a typically potent offensive team, the Duke defense forced four turnovers and allowed just nine first downs. The Tar Heels will be a little more difficult to slow down, but the Duke defense should win plenty of battles and force at least a couple turnovers to slow down the UNC offense.
Click on the link for more free NCAA football picks against the spread and total. The Blue Devils have nearly as many rushing yards as they do passing yards this season. That means Duke has good balance on offense, making them tough to contain over the course of 60 minutes.
The Blue Devils are essentially a modified version of the Louisville offense that scored 47 points and accumulated more than yards of offense against the Tar Heels.