My Super Bowl Pick
Mr Fixit , 5th February 5th February , 2. Recommendations Patriots , unibet Over Brian Gordon 7 years ago. Log in to reply. Mr Fixit 7 years ago. Brian, I did indeed, will sort it. Leave a reply Click here to cancel the reply You must be logged in to post a comment. Belgian kids know where the goal is 17th September Sep Land of the Giants 17th September Saved by the Sassuolo strike.
Match Previews Sep Rotherham v Derby Betting Tips 15th September The underdog team can lose by three points and still cover the spread. You will also notice a moneyline value associated with the point spread such as This indicates how much you must risk in order to book the bet also known as the vig or juice.
The spread is not a static number, so you will notice line moves during the week. Team A may be favored by 3 points on Tuesday and by 4. This indicates more people are betting on them, so Las Vegas increases the underdog value hoping to encourage more wagers on the underdog. There are times when moneyline wagering is smarter than point-spread wagering and this is why moneylines are growing in popularity.
Typically used in baseball and hockey, pro football moneylines are popular in Las Vegas for picking underdogs. The team you choose only has to win the game, not win by a certain number of runs or goals. It's easiest to picture the number sitting in the middle of these two values.
It's a simple way to have the risk-reward scenario. Once we lock in the teams for the superbowl, there will be hundreds of player prop bets up for all sorts of betting. As you can see, most of these wagers are for your amusement—you should not expect to profit on them.
It would be extremely hard to take an analytical and accurate approach to guessing how many times a particular player performs a particular celebration move! Likewise, no matter how many Lady Gaga albums you own, correctly guessing how long it takes her to sing the national anthem would involve a ridiculous amount of luck.
And figuring out the color of Gatorade which is going to be poured over the winning coach? There is no system for that. If this is your first year betting on a Super Bowl, you may rush into it thinking that you know what you are doing—but you probably do not. If you follow NFL throughout the regular season, you may have enough insights to correctly guess the winner, but there are a number of common mistakes that newbie punters make.
Because the Super Bowl is such a high-profile game, it is easy to get swept up in the hype and excitement. Here are a few tips and best practices to ensure that you get the most out of betting on Super Bowl LI. Hopefully some of this advice will prevent you from unnecessarily losing money—and maybe even snag you a few extra wins. There is so much coverage on the Super Bowl that it is easy to think all you need to do is read some news articles in the weeks leading up to the game and you will be all set to make smart bets.
But this is simply not the case. In fact, even watching the entire season is not necessarily enough to know which team is going to win. You need to spend that season taking careful notes and also researching historical performance for the teams. Only by taking an in-depth critical look at the teams and players will you be able to make any solid determinations. This takes time and effort, but it can pay off big. Another common mistake betting on Super Bowl games is to back your favorite team.
It is a great way to get even more emotionally involved with the game. But if you are betting for profit, emotional involvement is only going to cloud your vision. Wager on the team which is actually likeliest to win—even if that team is not the one you are emotionally behind. Reading news stories on the Super Bowl, you are going to encounter a ton of analysts and pundits who think they know exactly what is what—or at least want you to believe that.
Do not forget that many of these people may have their own motivations for believing or stating what they do. Do not rely on the hype to guide your betting decisions; base your wagers on your own judgments. One thing you definitely should pay attention to is how a team and its individual players are reacting to Super Bowl hype.
In particular, teams that have never played a Super Bowl are likely to make mistakes under pressure. In fact, sometimes that is enough to cause a team to lose a game—even if they had the capabilities to win it. There are so many prop bets available that it is easy to lose track of how they relate to each other, especially if you are taking a bunch.
Carefully look over the prop bets you are considering and make sure that none of them are directly opposing each other. If they do, they will cancel each other out. If you win one, you will lose the other. You place a wager before the game backing one team to win … but at halftime, they are down 10 points. Things are looking pretty bleak, and all the commentators can do is praise the opposing team and cast aspersions on the team you have backed.
What should you do? You may be tempted to place a new wager backing the other team. You figure then you could at least break even. You might even place a larger bet in the hopes of making a profit. But this is not necessarily the best course of action. In some situations it might be, but think analytically about the situation. Do you have a solid basis for switching, or is it just panic speaking? Halftime results are not predictive of the results at the end of the game.