New Jersey wants to legalize gambling on sports -- and will make its case before the Supreme Court.
Lawyers for New Jersey and the sports leagues will present their arguments over the course of an hour. Ten minutes of the half hour allotted to the NCAA et al will go to the Solicitor General, which requested the time and sides with the leagues. But oral arguments also provide a window into what justices are thinking when they ask questions of counsel for either side. Legal Sports Report will be present at oral arguments and will report immediately afterward.
The entire range of potential outcomes is a fairly long list. But most of them boil down to the court ruling one of two ways on the top level — that PASPA is either constitutional or not. This is just a partial listing of outcomes. There are a variety of other ways the court could find with perhaps less likelihood of occurring. What the court will ultimately find in the case is a matter of speculation — or handicapping, to borrow a term from gambling.
After all, only a small percentage of appeals are taken by the court. Most legal analysts seem to think New Jersey coming out of the case being able to offer sports betting is about a coin flip to a small favorite. The case will not be decided on Monday. Ohio, which legalized fantasy sports betting last year, is also likely to act. Border-state poaching of gamblers already is at work throughout the country.
New Jersey casinos took a hit when Maryland and Pennsylvania built more in-state gambling parlors. Recently Mississippi reported that casino revenue fell in , due mostly to declines in riverboat gambling-sites along the Mississippi River, as many gamblers went to racetrack casinos in Arkansas, just across the water. In most states gambling is a relatively small revenue source: It represents less than 2.
But in a few states — Nevada Lucy Dadayan, who studies gambling for the Rockefeller Institute, said states should view sports gambling revenue with caution. She predicts a boon in the early stages of a legal industry, but then a decline later. According to David G. Through sports books, gamblers register with casinos and download a wagering app on their phones. In Indiana, state legislators largely followed the Nevada model. Their legislation would allow the dozen or so state-run casinos to expand into sports betting on-site, along with mobile apps.
Indiana has regulated fantasy sports betting, but NCAA games are excluded. Many states also have Native American casinos, which could be allowed to handle sports betting if the Supreme Court approves it. Indian casinos operate independently of state regulations, but generally under compacts with states that would have to be amended to accommodate sports wagering.
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