Moore: We’re due for an overtime Super Bowl, so why not this one?

College football Power Rankings: Canelo takes razor-thin decision over Golovkin 1d Dan Rafael. They are not losing this game. Specifically, he goes for it on fourth down a heckuva lot more than most coaches and more than conventional wisdom would dictate. Super Bowl Predictions

You just can’t sweat it when Doug Pederson’s aggressiveness fails

Eagles-Patriots Super Bowl LII predictions

Dan Quinn has been the right man in charge for Atlanta. Just last year, the Cubs needed 10 innings to beat the Indians in Game 7.

I looked at the NFL schedule and noted that in games, including the playoffs, there were 13 games that went to overtime. In seven different weeks, none of the games went overtime. But in a three-week stretch from Week 6 to Week 8, we had six overtime games, including three in Week 8. If Mason Crosby had not hit a yard field goal as time expired, Green Bay and Dallas would have gone to overtime.

And in Kansas City, if the Chiefs had converted their two-point conversion, the game might have gone to OT. As it was, the Chiefs lost to the Steelers So if that ratio applied to the Super Bowl, we should have already have seen two overtime games.

As the most recent example of my prognosticating ineptitude, I predicted the Pro Bowl would go over 83 points, and the final score was Neither team's quarterback situation is ideal, but the Raiders carry more uncertainty at the position into this game. That makes Houston the logical choice despite the Texans' obvious flaws.

However, Detroit's passing game has similarly collapsed since Matthew Stafford hurt his finger early in Week 14, ranking 10th through Week 13 but 27th over the past four weeks. It would seem those matching declines would cancel each other out, but the problem for Detroit is that Seattle is better at everything else except special teams. Detroit has little ground attack, while Seattle has one of the 12 best run defenses since FO advanced stats began in Seattle's offense has been only average this season, but the Detroit defense is much worse than it looks.

The Lions kept the scoring down with a slow pace and good field position, but they had the this season's worst defense on a play-by-play basis. Oh, and the Seahawks have the added bonus of the NFL's best home-field advantage and "playoff experience" if you believe in that sort of thing. Jay Ajayi shredded the Steelers' defense for yards rushing in Week 6. However, teams evolve over the course of a season, and this is a much tougher Steelers defense I'm seeing on the tape.

If Pittsburgh can limit Ajayi this time around and give the ball back to Ben Roethlisberger , the Steelers have the talent Le'Veon Bell and Antonio Brown to create matchups against the Dolphins' defense. Take Pittsburgh at home in a game where the Steelers' offensive stars make key second-half plays to close out a win. When fully healthy, the Giants' secondary is one of the best in the league.

But the blistering play of Aaron Rodgers over the past six games is too much to ignore, and it will be enough to avoid a third playoff defeat to the Giants in Green Bay since The Falcons-Seahawks divisional-round matchup in the playoffs in Atlanta was fantastic. This game would be another classic. The key is the fourth-quarter-comeback abilities of both quarterbacks. Atlanta doesn't have enough horses on defense to completely shut down Russell Wilson , but Matt Ryan has been lighting up opposing secondaries all season, and I don't expect that to stop against Seattle.

Ryan and the Falcons pull ahead late to win a close one at home. The Texans may have gone and won their division, but they were outscored by 49 points on the season and ranked 29th overall in DVOA. Meanwhile, New England was our No. The Patriots' defense has gradually improved over the course of the season and is playing its best football right now. And earlier in the season when the defense wasn't playing as well, the Patriots still shut out the Texans in Week 3 despite starting a third-string quarterback.

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