Join for Free
Based on the numbers, this game looks like a great opportunity to fade Seattle's "brand value" and make a contrarian pick with the odds in your favor. This game is close to a toss-up, though our models are a bit more optimistic about Cleveland's chances to win than the Vegas line at post time, which was Browns by 1. Perhaps inspired by Indy's near-defeat of 7-point favorite Arizona last week, about 65 percent of pick 'em players are taking the Colts.
If you need to flip a coin on a game, you want to pick the side with the better payoff if you're right. That side is Cleveland this week. If you're looking to take a risk on an upset pick with major upside, your Week 3 play is Buffalo.
If their pick popularity stays so low, though, it makes Buffalo a very high leverage bet. Get it right, you'll gain on nearly all of your opponents. Get it wrong, vice versa. Survivor pools, in which you only pick one team per week, demand much different strategy than pick 'em and confidence pools. Our NFL Survivor Picks product provides customized pick recommendations for all your survivor pools, based on the latest data like Vegas odds and public picking trends.
In Week 3, here are some of the factors you should be considering about the most popular survivor picks of the week so far:. Green Bay home vs. Green Bay's Week 1 and Week 2 results haven't been spectacular, and it feels like the public may be overestimating their chances here, even against the Bengals. However, the Packers also have modestly less future value than New England. New England home vs.
Houston is just a hair behind Green Bay in pick popularity at 28 percent, but at a point spread the Patriots are the most heavily favored team of Week 3 by a significant margin.
That additional safety comes with a price, though, as you're sacrificing a lot if you burn New England this week. Pittsburgh gives you better odds to win, but you're burning a lot more future value if you use a team as good as the Steelers in Week 3. If you're willing to follow the numbers and play to win, there are a couple gems among those much less popular teams.
We hope that you find the articles here helpful and really enjoy reading them. We give you basic sports betting tips and strategies for those bettors new to sports betting, but we also have very in-depth sports betting strategy articles written by professional sports bettors, who have made hundreds of thousands of dollars betting on sports. If you want to make more money betting on sports this is a section of The Sports Geek that you must spend some time reading through.
The basics will help you get started on the right track, and the advanced articles will help you find edges over the sportsbooks and give you the best chance at winning. All of this has been done to accomplish our goal of making this the best sports betting guide on the Internet. We hope you take the time to read through these articles.
This section of our website has two purposes. The first is to help beginner sports bettors understand how to read betting odds, including learning about the different types of odds you will see posted by the sportsbooks. As any experienced sports bettor knows, it is extremely important to compare odds and place your wagers using the best odds available to you. If you read any of our sports betting strategy articles you will know that this is a must if you want to make money betting on sports.
Visit this section today, and bookmark it for future use. Sportsbook Reviews We will say that online sports betting may not be legal where you live, so please check your local laws before placing bets online at these sports betting sites. Top Sports Betting Sites. Lastly with online betting it is easy to get carried away and bet more than you can afford.
Always make sure you gamble responsibly. If you have a gambling problem or know someone who does, please get help. Visit Gamblers Anonymous today to learn more about getting help with your sports betting or gambling problem. Wow, flew by and was a great year in sports overall. We enjoyed a lot of success with the free picks here at The Sports Geek and have grown our great team of handicappers.