How Fantasy MMA / UFC Works
Cody Garbrandt DraftKings Salaries: Dillashaw , Garbrandt Odds to Finish: In Saturday's main event rematch from the City of Angels, Garbrandt has the opportunity to avenge the only loss of his professional career, while Dillashaw has the opportunity to prove his dominant win over "No Love" the first time out wasn't a fluke.
Dillashaw keeps himself in phenomenal shape and a five-round fight certainly caters to his strengths. Cruz was viewed as the quickest and most nimble fighter in the sport, and "No Love" picked him apart with ease. He got off first on virtually every single striking exchange between the two and had no issues hitting the "Dominator" throughout the course of their bout. Dillashaw wasn't half as effective against Dom as Cody proved to be. Yet when Garbrandt stepped into the cage with TJ for the first time back in November , his footwork dissipated and thus T.
Cody has always been a fighter that is willing to get hit in order to land strikes of his own. That strategy works just fine when you have a massive talent advantage over your opposition, but it isn't going to fly against a guy like Dillashaw.
So while Garbrandt hits harder, I have more confidence in TJ's ability to construct a winning game plan. Cody is going to have to display significantly better footwork on Saturday than he did in the first fight if he hopes to win. It's entirely possible as both the DraftKings salaries and Vegas odds indicate , but I saw enough from Dillashaw in the first fight to roll with him once again. Henry Cejudo DraftKings Salaries: The rumors of a super-fight between Johnson and Dillashaw never came to fruition, leaving us with another underwhelming rematch for the UFC Flyweight Championship.
Currently riding a fight winning streak, Johnson is the only champion the division has ever seen. His 11 consecutive title defenses are the most in company history, and he has shown zero signs of slowing down at age 32 next week.
In Cejudo's defense, he wasn't ready for a title shot the first time these two men met, and he should have a considerably better chance this time around. A former Olympic gold medalist in freestyle wrestling, Cejudo has displayed significantly improved striking in his last two wins over Sergio Pettis and Wilson Reis.
His grappling game is obviously world-class, but Cejudo, who has limited professional experience, needed his striking skills to improve if he had any chance to beat Johnson and they have. Have they improved enough to call him a legitimate threat?
Probably not, but I would be shocked if Cejudo gets dominated as badly as he did in the first fight. In a five-round fight, there might even be a tiny bit of value as a punt play. Johnson has the best cardio in the sport by a mile and thus the only way to defeat him is to land that perfect shot that leads to a finish. No one -- not Cejudo, not anyone -- is going to outpoint Mighty Mouse over the course of 25 minutes.
Any fighter can be knocked out at any time, but Johnson who has never been finished in his career is obviously at less risk than most others. I am on record as saying I will be picking DJ in every flyweight fight until he loses, and that isn't changing here. I think Cejudo keeps it relatively close, but I don't see him winning.
Women's Strawweight Polyana Viana v. The first two fights on this card are quite good but I can't even pretend to get excited about this one. I'll break it down to the best of my ability, but I'm telling you right now that the ceiling for both fighters is limited from a DraftKings perspective The fact this is a three-round fight should also favor Aldo as he can empty the gas tank early.
Stephens is always a decent play as a DraftKings underdog given his power, but I think Aldo takes a decision. Women's Strawweight Joanna Jedrzejczyk v. Tecia Torres DraftKings Salaries: Much like Aldo's issues with Holloway, we are going to find out in this fight if Joanna's issues with Rose Namajunas were nothing more than a bad matchup for the former UFC Women's Strawweight Champion, or a sign of future issues.
Joanna's performance in the second Namajunas fight in April was particularly concerning. In what was a minute kickboxing match, Jedrzejczyk was beaten to the punch early and often. She looked slow and hesitant. For the life of me I can't figure out why a year-old, world-class fighter would have suddenly gone down the tubes, and thus I'm willing to give Joanna the benefit of the doubt.
If she struggles in this one, it's a different story. Torres is coming off a loss to Jessica Andrade in February. Torres allowed Andrade to land 10 successful takedowns and spent north of seven minutes on her back. Tecia is most comfortable in a striking battle and since that's what Joanna prefers as well, expect both women to be content with this fight staying on the feet.
Tecia, who is one of the smallest fighters on the entire roster, is giving up five inches in both height and reach to Joanna, and that could be a massive factor in a bout that projects as a kickboxing match. If Torres is unable to get inside with regularity, she isn't going to win. I'm not in a full-blown panic yet regarding Joanna, but I'm certainly worried. A poor performance against someone other than Namajunas would put me over the edge.
I'm going to give her the benefit of the doubt one more time. This is a fight that appears to be tailor-made for the former champ. If you think Joanna's issues are the beginning of an ongoing problem, it makes sense to roster Torres. Lightweight Alexander Hernandez v. Making his UFC debut in March on three weeks' notice, Hernandez stepped in and dusted the underrated Beneil Dariush with one punch in just 42 seconds.
Hernandez's power is legit. He has five career first-round finishes and he moves well. It was just one fight, but he appears to have a bright future. Known as one of the better submission specialists in the division eight career wins , it was somehow the first knockout win of Aubin-Mercier's seven-year pro run. He lets his opponents lead the dance and then capitalizes on their mistakes.
Fighters have different styles. Some fighters plod their way to decisions, barely grinding out victories. Just like in daily fantasy for more traditional sports, you want the active, offensive players. When selecting a grappling-based fighter, choose one that actively seeks to pass the guard and combines striking with passing. Since points are awarded for passing to half guard, side control, mount and back control, and because it is easier to score lots of strikes from dominant positions, these grapplers are especially valuable.
On DraftKings, the fighters participating in the main event usually cost more. Because they have five rounds instead of the usual three to pile up significant strikes, knockdowns, takedowns, and advances.